Former President Donald Trump Promise His most extreme proposal is to implement broad restrictive immigration policies if he wins this year's presidential election. But his most extreme proposal is to conduct “the largest domestic deportation operation in U.S. history.” In an interview last month hourtrump suggested It is said that between 15 and 20 million people could be eligible for this scheme.
Thoughts on mass deportation buy in From other contenders for the Republican presidential nomination; include They are former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. And 51% of people Poll by Axios And an April Harris poll found support for mass deportation of undocumented immigrants.
The proposal has entered the mainstream, but few who embrace it as an antidote to confusing border policies seem to realize the costs of implementing it. It requires military enforcement that affects many aspects of daily life. This will alienate long-time parents and service providers from their U.S. citizen children. It will shake up key economic sectors. that Unconventional price tag; And that would fly in the face of American ideals.
In other words, Trump's mass deportation plan is not just anti-immigration. It's anti-American.
april report According to the Bureau of Homeland Security Statistics, as of January 2022, the number of illegal immigrants was approximately 11 million. (These numbers also include those who benefit from prosecutorial discretion, such as those who entered the country illegally or overstayed their visas, as well as individuals. Targeting 11 million people would target about 3% of the U.S. population, while Trump's numbers This means targeting about 5-6% of the population.
Trump is said His administration has said it will use local law enforcement, the National Guard and, potentially, the U.S. military to carry out deportations. “Advisors are looking at military bases to expand detention capabilities.” reported wall street journal. Jason Houser, former chief of staff for Immigration and Customs Enforcement under President Joe Biden, said: said Atlantic Ocean Trump may need to use warehouses or abandoned shopping malls to temporarily house immigrants scheduled for removal. Hauser estimated that hundreds of thousands of enforcement officers could be needed to detain and deport immigrants at the scale Trump wants. Stephen Miller, a hard-line Trump administration immigration adviser, suggested President Trump said he could deploy National Guard troops from red states that reject his deportation plan to blue states. Atlantic Ocean.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 56% of respondents said “most or all immigrants living in the United States illegally should be deported.” sugar Reuters, but about half also They said they opposed holding undocumented immigrants in detention centers while awaiting deportation. Americans may feel more comfortable with the idea of mass deportations than the reality, given Miller's “massive raid.” This will inevitably tear the family apart and lead to horrific execution scenes. called for someone.
This plan targets millions of people who enjoy productive and peaceful lives in the United States and support their American citizen children. Approximately 80% of illegal residents in the country lived They have lived here for more than five years, according to 2019 estimates from the Migration Policy Institute. just finished one fifth I have lived in the United States for over 20 years. 18 percent married One-third (more than 3.5 million) are U.S. citizens or lawful permanent residents.live You must have at least one U.S. citizen child under 18 years of age. That number is just over 3 million, or more than a quarter of the unauthorized population. own home.
Mass deportations would not only punish the children of U.S. citizens and the spouses of undocumented immigrants, but would also severely disrupt the economy, impacting millions of Americans. for half of the country's farm workers are undocumented. Targeting this workforce will create a labor shortage and raise Food costs are already high. This is also true in the construction sector. hire Undocumented immigrants. And because many undocumented immigrants are entrepreneurs. make American jobDeporting them would cause American citizens to lose their jobs.
Mass deportations would force U.S. “business owners to cut back on or start new businesses and, in some cases, scale back production to reflect the loss of consumers for goods while shifting investments to less labor-intensive technologies and industries.” It will. warned George Mason University economist Michael Clemens. Clemens went on to say that “events of mass deportation and exclusion” in American history have reduced employment and income for American workers “in both the short and long term.”
Even if these outcomes don't affect every American, the price tag of Trump's plan will. Taxpayers will bear huge enforcement costs. In the analysis practice for Market Watch, Penn Wharton Budget Model researchers estimated that Trump's deportation plan “could easily reach more than $1 trillion over 10 years.” This estimate is “higher than other sources, which still note the high price of deportation.” wrote JD Tuchire reason this week. “If Trump and company want to own the problem, there are costs associated with it. also It's theirs.”
But this conversation is about more than financial costs. It's about the government's use of force against the largely peaceful, nonviolent population that helps create a vibrant American society. This is about whether sending in police, National Guard, and military to rescue undocumented immigrants from their homes and workplaces is consistent with American values. This is about civil rights and due process violations that will inevitably occur if this plan comes to fruition.
The U.S. immigration system is clearly broken, but mass deportations will not solve the problem or bring order. They will change the face of the country for the worse.