The New York Times published the following article: catchy headline A recent survey of battleground states showed 17% of voters Wednesday claimed they disapprove of President Joe Biden. Roe vs. Wade.
Like most problems, the problem was really serious. In a crosstab Poll: 78% of Democrats rightly condemn Donald Trump for overturning constitutional abortion rights, as do 42% of Republicans.
Still, 12% of Democrats say Biden deserves at least some criticism, as do nearly a quarter of Republicans and 18% of independents.
Abortion is undoubtedly Biden's strength. Navigator Research, a progressive consortium, conducted the most comprehensive public opinion poll on the topic since Trump declared he would be the ultimate arbiter on access to abortion care. Polls show that voters have a very clear idea of who is responsible for the chaos currently sweeping the country and who poses the greatest threat to reproductive freedom going forward.
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62% thought Trump was responsible for the apocalypse. roe (Siena poll found 56% said Trump bore some/most of the blame)
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Now 65% say President Trump believes abortion should be illegal in all or most cases. 9 points increase Since last September
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55% think Trump will sign a national abortion ban. reject one
The Navigator poll drew another important conclusion. Abortion was not the primary issue for voters (inflation was), but it was the most important issue for voters. Thirty-eight percent say a candidate with opposing views on abortion would break the consensus on abortion, including 53% of Democrats.
Although it may seem impossible for someone to get the wrong information about who “murdered” roelike Trump once said:The Times points out that the main reason for this confusion stems from the Supreme Court's 2022 date. Dobbs overturned decision roe. because Dobbs Decisions were made during the Biden term, and low-information voters—Where Biden Must Lay Ground—Sometimes we don’t realize that Trump is to blame. not only Predicting Roe Will Be Overturned If he is elected president, he would also appoint three right-wing judges who gave the high court's anti-abortion wing the votes they needed.
DeLana Marsh, a 30-year-old from Georgia, fits the profile of an ill-informed voter who supports abortion rights but “was under the impression that Mr. Biden was responsible because it happened while he was president,” according to the Times. said.
Overall, the Times poll found that voters in most battleground states were four to six times more likely to hold Trump primarily responsible for overthrowing the president. roe Instead of Biden. But in a race that will surely be decided by the margins, making sure underinformed voters are clear about Trump's culpability could give Biden a chance to win more votes.
“This group is a great opportunity for Democrats,” Democratic pollster Celinda Lake told the Times.
She said part of the confusion was a characteristic of Trump's obfuscation on the issue.
“He deliberately kept it vague. But if we show voters what they say in their own words, that’s enough to convince them,” Lake added.
In voter confusion in battlefield conditions Who is responsible for the ending? roeOne of them stood out: Nevada; overwhelmingly in favorwill probably appear abortion rights ballot measure November and Where About a quarter of voters Every two years the political process is completely renewed.
Nevada was the only battleground state in the survey where double-digit voters largely blamed Biden for ending abortion rights, with 10% saying he had “a lot of responsibility” (5% to 8% blamed Biden). in other swing states). Nevada voters were three times more likely to primarily criticize Trump (31%).
In comparison, Wisconsin voters were seven times more likely to criticize Trump, Pennsylvania voters were six times more likely, and Michigan and Arizona voters were approximately five times more likely to criticize Trump.
All the battleground states will likely be screaming this year, but in Nevada, Biden is currently trailing Trump. Almost 7 points difference There are 538 in total.
Hammering Trump for his role in sparking the nation's abortion care crisis gives Biden a real platform to gain ground in Nevada, where the issue will be a top concern for voters.Almost two-thirds of them I support freedom of choice.
Ian Bassin is a former deputy White House counsel and co-founder and executive director of Protect Democracy. Protect Democracy is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization focused on anti-authoritarianism, how to protect democracy, and how to protect free and fair elections.
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